Wed 28 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
Milan
Rank #5 · 21 pts
2 – 4
Full Time
Match xG: 1.80 – 2.09
Bologna
Rank #9 · 14 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
48.1%
Fair: 2.08
Draw (X)
25.3%
Fair: 3.95
Away Win (2)
26.7%
Fair: 3.75
Over 2.5 Goals
59.5%
Fair: 1.68
BTTS: Yes
61.5%
Fair: 1.63
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Milan | Metric | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| #5 (21 pts) | League Rank & Points | #9 (14 pts) |
| 6W-3D-1L | Season Record (10 MP) | 4W-2D-4L |
| 21 : 12 | Goals For : Against | 14 : 13 |
| 17.7 / 13.2 | Season xG / xGA | 14.7 / 13.5 |
| 16.2 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 15.1 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
17 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.77 | 3.81 | 5.33 | - |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_FRA | 1.65 | 3.90 | 5.55 | 1.80 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_GBR | 1.65 | 3.90 | 5.55 | 1.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.60 | 5.50 | 2.00 |
| Betfair | 41.00 | 4.50 | 1.20 ↓76% | - |
| Betfred | 1.65 | 3.50 | 5.10 | 1.85 |
| Bwin | 1.65 | 3.65 | 5.35 | 1.90 |
| Caliente | 1.70 | 3.70 | 5.00 | - |
| Interwetten | 12.00 | 3.50 | 1.45 | 1.17 |
| Letsbet | 1.60 | 3.55 | 5.05 | 1.90 |
| Novibet | 1.70 ↓4% | 3.66 | 5.59 | 2.04 |
| Paddy Power | 26.00 | 4.20 | 1.25 ↓91.7% | - |
| Sky Bet | 1.67 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 1.83 |
| Tipico | 100.00 | 14.00 | 1.01 | 1.17 |
| Unibet | 1.65 | 3.45 | 5.35 | 1.90 |
| Unibet / Stake | 1.65 ↓5.7% | 3.55 | 4.85 ↓4% | 1.85 |
| Winamax | 1.65 | 3.65 | 5.45 | 1.95 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-02-03
0 - 3
2025-09-14
1 - 0
2025-05-14
0 - 1
2025-05-09
3 - 1
2025-02-27
2 - 1