Sun 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
Milan
Rank #5 · 21 pts
3 – 2
Full Time
Match xG: 2.58 – 1.74
Atalanta
Rank #13 · 11 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
51.6%
Fair: 1.94
Draw (X)
23.5%
Fair: 4.26
Away Win (2)
24.9%
Fair: 4.02
Over 2.5 Goals
65.3%
Fair: 1.53
BTTS: Yes
65.2%
Fair: 1.53
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Milan | Metric | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| #5 (21 pts) | League Rank & Points | #13 (11 pts) |
| 6W-3D-1L | Season Record (10 MP) | 3W-2D-5L |
| 21 : 12 | Goals For : Against | 16 : 20 |
| 17.7 / 13.2 | Season xG / xGA | 15.8 / 18.3 |
| 16.2 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 11.8 xPTS |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-05-10
2 - 3
2025-10-28
1 - 1
2025-04-20
0 - 1
2024-12-06
2 - 1
2024-02-25
1 - 1