Wed 02 Dec 2026, 19:30 UTC
Manchester City
Rank #2 · 21 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.96 – 1.16
Leeds United
Rank #12 · 11 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
54.7%
Fair: 1.83
Draw (X)
23.9%
Fair: 4.18
Away Win (2)
21.4%
Fair: 4.67
Over 2.5 Goals
60.3%
Fair: 1.66
BTTS: Yes
60.0%
Fair: 1.67
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Manchester City | Metric | Leeds United |
|---|---|---|
| #2 (21 pts) | League Rank & Points | #12 (11 pts) |
| 7W-0D-2L | Season Record (9 MP) | 2W-5D-2L |
| 20 : 10 | Goals For : Against | 9 : 8 |
| 18.3 / 11.7 | Season xG / xGA | 11.2 / 11.8 |
| 17.2 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 11.8 xPTS |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-02-28
0 - 1
2025-11-29
3 - 2
2023-05-06
2 - 1
2022-12-28
1 - 3
2022-04-30
0 - 4