Sat 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
Mainz 05
Rank #9 · 10 pts
2 – 3
Full Time
Match xG: 1.70 – 2.69
Werder Bremen
Rank #5 · 15 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
50.8%
Fair: 1.97
Draw (X)
22.5%
Fair: 4.44
Away Win (2)
26.7%
Fair: 3.75
Over 2.5 Goals
70.6%
Fair: 1.42
BTTS: Yes
69.7%
Fair: 1.43
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Mainz 05 | Metric | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| #9 (10 pts) | League Rank & Points | #5 (15 pts) |
| 3W-1D-4L | Season Record (8 MP) | 4W-3D-1L |
| 17 : 17 | Goals For : Against | 17 : 14 |
| 16.9 / 12.4 | Season xG / xGA | 13.9 / 12.8 |
| 14.1 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 11.6 xPTS |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-03-15
0 - 2
2025-11-01
1 - 1
2025-01-31
1 - 0
2024-09-15
1 - 2
2024-02-03
0 - 1