Sat 28 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC
Mainz 05
Rank #9 · 10 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 2.27 – 1.14
Union Berlin
Rank #16 · 7 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
61.8%
Fair: 1.62
Draw (X)
21.0%
Fair: 4.76
Away Win (2)
17.1%
Fair: 5.85
Over 2.5 Goals
66.0%
Fair: 1.52
BTTS: Yes
61.7%
Fair: 1.62
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Mainz 05 | Metric | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| #9 (10 pts) | League Rank & Points | #16 (7 pts) |
| 3W-1D-4L | Season Record (8 MP) | 1W-4D-3L |
| 17 : 17 | Goals For : Against | 7 : 19 |
| 16.9 / 12.4 | Season xG / xGA | 8.3 / 15.2 |
| 14.1 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 7.7 xPTS |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-05-10
1 - 3
2026-01-10
2 - 2
2025-01-19
2 - 1
2024-08-24
1 - 1
2024-02-07
1 - 1