Sat 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
Mainz 05
Rank #9 · 10 pts
3 – 4
Full Time
Match xG: 3.13 – 2.09
Bayer Leverkusen
Rank #6 · 13 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
49.4%
Fair: 2.02
Draw (X)
22.0%
Fair: 4.55
Away Win (2)
28.6%
Fair: 3.50
Over 2.5 Goals
74.2%
Fair: 1.35
BTTS: Yes
72.9%
Fair: 1.37
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Mainz 05 | Metric | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| #9 (10 pts) | League Rank & Points | #6 (13 pts) |
| 3W-1D-4L | Season Record (8 MP) | 4W-1D-3L |
| 17 : 17 | Goals For : Against | 18 : 16 |
| 16.9 / 12.4 | Season xG / xGA | 16.0 / 14.2 |
| 14.1 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 12.8 xPTS |