Sun 11 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
Liverpool
Rank #5 · 15 pts
0 – 3
Full Time
Match xG: 0.94 – 1.28
Manchester City
Rank #2 · 21 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
37.2%
Fair: 2.69
Draw (X)
25.9%
Fair: 3.86
Away Win (2)
36.9%
Fair: 2.71
Over 2.5 Goals
60.3%
Fair: 1.66
BTTS: Yes
63.4%
Fair: 1.58
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Liverpool | Metric | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| #5 (15 pts) | League Rank & Points | #2 (21 pts) |
| 4W-3D-2L | Season Record (9 MP) | 7W-0D-2L |
| 11 : 9 | Goals For : Against | 20 : 10 |
| 13.2 / 10.6 | Season xG / xGA | 18.3 / 11.7 |
| 14.1 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 17.2 xPTS |