Sat 12 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC
Lazio
Rank #1 · 28 pts
2 – 2
Full Time
Match xG: 2.01 – 1.25
Milan
Rank #5 · 21 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
43.7%
Fair: 2.29
Draw (X)
25.8%
Fair: 3.88
Away Win (2)
30.5%
Fair: 3.28
Over 2.5 Goals
59.6%
Fair: 1.68
BTTS: Yes
62.4%
Fair: 1.60
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Lazio | Metric | Milan |
|---|---|---|
| #1 (28 pts) | League Rank & Points | #5 (21 pts) |
| 9W-1D-0L | Season Record (10 MP) | 6W-3D-1L |
| 24 : 8 | Goals For : Against | 21 : 12 |
| 16.5 / 11.3 | Season xG / xGA | 17.7 / 13.2 |
| 17.0 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 16.2 xPTS |