Sat 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
Chelsea
Rank #4 · 16 pts
5 – 1
Full Time
Match xG: 1.10 – 1.38
AFC Bournemouth
Rank #8 · 12 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
36.9%
Fair: 2.71
Draw (X)
26.7%
Fair: 3.75
Away Win (2)
36.4%
Fair: 2.75
Over 2.5 Goals
57.1%
Fair: 1.75
BTTS: Yes
61.0%
Fair: 1.64
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Chelsea | Metric | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| #4 (16 pts) | League Rank & Points | #8 (12 pts) |
| 5W-1D-3L | Season Record (9 MP) | 3W-3D-3L |
| 19 : 15 | Goals For : Against | 14 : 13 |
| 13.3 / 12.6 | Season xG / xGA | 15.8 / 10.0 |
| 12.9 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 15.5 xPTS |