Fri 09 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
Borussia Dortmund
Rank #2 · 18 pts
2 – 2
Full Time
Match xG: 2.31 – 1.31
Werder Bremen
Rank #5 · 15 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
42.8%
Fair: 2.34
Draw (X)
25.1%
Fair: 3.98
Away Win (2)
32.1%
Fair: 3.12
Over 2.5 Goals
62.9%
Fair: 1.59
BTTS: Yes
65.1%
Fair: 1.54
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Borussia Dortmund | Metric | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| #2 (18 pts) | League Rank & Points | #5 (15 pts) |
| 5W-3D-0L | Season Record (8 MP) | 4W-3D-1L |
| 14 : 6 | Goals For : Against | 17 : 14 |
| 12.3 / 11.8 | Season xG / xGA | 13.9 / 12.8 |
| 12.9 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 11.6 xPTS |