Sat 12 Sep 2026, 13:30 UTC
Borussia Dortmund
Rank #2 · 18 pts
3 – 0
Full Time
Match xG: 1.76 – 0.49
Paderborn
Rank #14 · 9 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
51.9%
Fair: 1.93
Draw (X)
25.6%
Fair: 3.91
Away Win (2)
22.5%
Fair: 4.44
Over 2.5 Goals
54.7%
Fair: 1.83
BTTS: Yes
56.5%
Fair: 1.77
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Borussia Dortmund | Metric | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| #2 (18 pts) | League Rank & Points | #14 (9 pts) |
| 5W-3D-0L | Season Record (8 MP) | 2W-3D-3L |
| 14 : 6 | Goals For : Against | 6 : 9 |
| 12.3 / 11.8 | Season xG / xGA | 8.1 / 13.2 |
| 12.9 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 7.5 xPTS |