Sat 12 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC
Aston Villa
Rank #10 · 12 pts
1 – 2
Full Time
Match xG: 0.82 – 2.28
Nottingham Forest
Rank #19 · 6 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
30.9%
Fair: 3.24
Draw (X)
27.5%
Fair: 3.64
Away Win (2)
41.6%
Fair: 2.40
Over 2.5 Goals
52.8%
Fair: 1.89
BTTS: Yes
57.4%
Fair: 1.74
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Aston Villa | Metric | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| #10 (12 pts) | League Rank & Points | #19 (6 pts) |
| 3W-3D-3L | Season Record (9 MP) | 1W-3D-5L |
| 10 : 13 | Goals For : Against | 6 : 12 |
| 10.9 / 15.1 | Season xG / xGA | 14.6 / 9.3 |
| 10.4 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 16.1 xPTS |