Sat 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
Aston Villa
Rank #10 · 12 pts
2 – 1
Full Time
Match xG: 0.61 – 1.56
Manchester City
Rank #2 · 21 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
29.9%
Fair: 3.34
Draw (X)
25.5%
Fair: 3.92
Away Win (2)
44.6%
Fair: 2.24
Over 2.5 Goals
60.6%
Fair: 1.65
BTTS: Yes
63.0%
Fair: 1.59
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Aston Villa | Metric | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| #10 (12 pts) | League Rank & Points | #2 (21 pts) |
| 3W-3D-3L | Season Record (9 MP) | 7W-0D-2L |
| 10 : 13 | Goals For : Against | 20 : 10 |
| 10.9 / 15.1 | Season xG / xGA | 18.3 / 11.7 |
| 10.4 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 17.2 xPTS |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-05-24
1 - 2
2025-10-26
1 - 0
2025-04-22
2 - 1
2024-12-21
2 - 1
2024-04-03
4 - 1