Sun 29 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC
Arsenal
Rank #1 · 24 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.69 – 1.42
Manchester City
Rank #2 · 21 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
43.0%
Fair: 2.33
Draw (X)
25.7%
Fair: 3.89
Away Win (2)
31.3%
Fair: 3.19
Over 2.5 Goals
60.1%
Fair: 1.66
BTTS: Yes
62.9%
Fair: 1.59
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Arsenal | Metric | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| #1 (24 pts) | League Rank & Points | #2 (21 pts) |
| 8W-0D-1L | Season Record (9 MP) | 7W-0D-2L |
| 14 : 5 | Goals For : Against | 20 : 10 |
| 14.9 / 7.2 | Season xG / xGA | 18.3 / 11.7 |
| 18.1 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 17.2 xPTS |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-08-16
3 - 0
2026-04-19
2 - 1
2026-03-22
0 - 2
2025-09-21
1 - 1
2025-02-02
5 - 1