Sat 10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
Arsenal
Rank #1 · 24 pts
2 – 1
Full Time
Match xG: 2.33 – 0.62
Leeds United
Rank #12 · 11 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
53.0%
Fair: 1.89
Draw (X)
26.3%
Fair: 3.80
Away Win (2)
20.7%
Fair: 4.83
Over 2.5 Goals
50.2%
Fair: 1.99
BTTS: Yes
52.3%
Fair: 1.91
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Arsenal | Metric | Leeds United |
|---|---|---|
| #1 (24 pts) | League Rank & Points | #12 (11 pts) |
| 8W-0D-1L | Season Record (9 MP) | 2W-5D-2L |
| 14 : 5 | Goals For : Against | 9 : 8 |
| 14.9 / 7.2 | Season xG / xGA | 11.2 / 11.8 |
| 18.1 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 11.8 xPTS |