Sun 06 Sep 2026, 15:30 UTC
Arsenal
Rank #1 · 24 pts
2 – 1
Full Time
Match xG: 2.05 – 0.39
Chelsea
Rank #4 · 16 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
50.9%
Fair: 1.96
Draw (X)
25.9%
Fair: 3.86
Away Win (2)
23.2%
Fair: 4.31
Over 2.5 Goals
54.3%
Fair: 1.84
BTTS: Yes
56.5%
Fair: 1.77
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Arsenal | Metric | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| #1 (24 pts) | League Rank & Points | #4 (16 pts) |
| 8W-0D-1L | Season Record (9 MP) | 5W-1D-3L |
| 14 : 5 | Goals For : Against | 19 : 15 |
| 14.9 / 7.2 | Season xG / xGA | 13.3 / 12.6 |
| 18.1 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 12.9 xPTS |