Sun 11 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC
Arouca
Rank #5 · 20 pts
1 – 0
Full Time
Estrela da Amadora
Rank #12 · 10 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
43.1%
Fair: 2.32
Draw (X)
28.1%
Fair: 3.56
Away Win (2)
28.8%
Fair: 3.47
Over 2.5 Goals
49.6%
Fair: 2.02
BTTS: Yes
54.7%
Fair: 1.83
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Arouca | Metric | Estrela da Amadora |
|---|---|---|
| #5 (20 pts) | League Rank & Points | #12 (10 pts) |
| 6W-2D-2L | Season Record (10 MP) | 2W-4D-4L |
| 13 : 7 | Goals For : Against | 15 : 19 |
| 12.5 / 12.8 | Season xG / xGA | 12.8 / 14.4 |
| 14.2 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 12.9 xPTS |