Sat 05 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC
Ajax
Rank #2 · 24 pts
1 – 3
Full Time
PSV Eindhoven
Rank #3 · 23 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
43.3%
Fair: 2.31
Draw (X)
21.8%
Fair: 4.59
Away Win (2)
34.8%
Fair: 2.87
Over 2.5 Goals
77.0%
Fair: 1.30
BTTS: Yes
76.0%
Fair: 1.32
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Ajax | Metric | PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|
| #2 (24 pts) | League Rank & Points | #3 (23 pts) |
| 7W-3D-1L | Season Record (11 MP) | 7W-2D-2L |
| 30 : 13 | Goals For : Against | 35 : 13 |
| 26.0 / 15.9 | Season xG / xGA | 27.8 / 13.8 |
| 21.4 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 23.5 xPTS |