Sat 10 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
Ajax
Rank #2 · 24 pts
1 – 1
Full Time
NEC Nijmegen
Rank #13 · 11 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
56.7%
Fair: 1.76
Draw (X)
20.8%
Fair: 4.81
Away Win (2)
22.6%
Fair: 4.42
Over 2.5 Goals
74.1%
Fair: 1.35
BTTS: Yes
70.9%
Fair: 1.41
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Ajax | Metric | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| #2 (24 pts) | League Rank & Points | #13 (11 pts) |
| 7W-3D-1L | Season Record (11 MP) | 2W-5D-4L |
| 30 : 13 | Goals For : Against | 17 : 19 |
| 26.0 / 15.9 | Season xG / xGA | 19.1 / 19.8 |
| 21.4 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 14.9 xPTS |