Sat 19 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC
Ajax
Rank #2 · 24 pts
2 – 2
Full Time
Excelsior
Rank #15 · 11 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
65.8%
Fair: 1.52
Draw (X)
18.9%
Fair: 5.29
Away Win (2)
15.2%
Fair: 6.58
Over 2.5 Goals
71.3%
Fair: 1.40
BTTS: Yes
64.3%
Fair: 1.56
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Ajax | Metric | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| #2 (24 pts) | League Rank & Points | #15 (11 pts) |
| 7W-3D-1L | Season Record (11 MP) | 3W-2D-6L |
| 30 : 13 | Goals For : Against | 16 : 28 |
| 26.0 / 15.9 | Season xG / xGA | 13.0 / 23.3 |
| 21.4 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 11.5 xPTS |