Fri 30 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
Villarreal
Rank #9 · 12 pts
0 – 1
Full Time
Espanyol
Rank #14 · 11 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
59.6%
Fair: 1.68
Draw (X)
23.6%
Fair: 4.24
Away Win (2)
16.9%
Fair: 5.92
Over 2.5 Goals
55.5%
Fair: 1.80
BTTS: Yes
53.8%
Fair: 1.86
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Villarreal | Metric | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|
| #9 (12 pts) | League Rank & Points | #14 (11 pts) |
| 3W-3D-5L | Season Record (11 MP) | 3W-2D-6L |
| 15 : 15 | Goals For : Against | 13 : 14 |
| 21.9 / 12.1 | Season xG / xGA | 11.0 / 15.0 |
| 20.5 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 12.5 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
11 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.42 | 5.00 | 6.25 ↓3.9% | - |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_ESP | 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.67 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_GBR | 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.67 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_MUS | 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.67 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 5.00 | 6.25 | - |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 2.88 | 6.50 ↓7.1% | 3.60 |
| Interwetten | 1.43 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 1.67 |
| Novibet | 1.44 | 5.43 | 7.21 | 1.58 |
| Paddy Power | 1.42 | 5.00 | 6.25 | - |
| Tipico | 1.40 | 5.20 | 6.50 | 1.60 |
| Unibet / Stake | 1.35 ↓3.6% | 4.85 | 7.45 | 1.55 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-02-09
4 - 1
2025-11-08
0 - 2
2025-04-27
1 - 0
2024-09-26
1 - 2
2023-04-27
4 - 2