Sun 08 Nov 2026, 15:15 UTC
Real Sociedad
Rank #5 · 19 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.73 – 1.39
Rayo Vallecano
Rank #12 · 12 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
44.5%
Fair: 2.25
Draw (X)
25.6%
Fair: 3.91
Away Win (2)
29.9%
Fair: 3.34
Over 2.5 Goals
60.2%
Fair: 1.66
BTTS: Yes
62.7%
Fair: 1.59
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Real Sociedad | Metric | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| #5 (19 pts) | League Rank & Points | #12 (12 pts) |
| 6W-1D-4L | Season Record (11 MP) | 3W-3D-4L |
| 20 : 20 | Goals For : Against | 15 : 20 |
| 15.8 / 18.6 | Season xG / xGA | 13.9 / 17.0 |
| 14.4 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 12.2 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
17 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 4.26 | 4.88 | 1.59 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_ESP | 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.10 | 1.62 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_MUS | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.90 | 1.62 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 4.10 | 4.75 | 1.57 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.40 | 1.60 |
| Betfred | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.60 | 1.55 |
| Bwin | 1.65 | 4.10 | 4.55 | 1.55 |
| Caliente | 1.71 | 3.95 | 4.45 | - |
| Interwetten | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.60 | 1.60 |
| Letsbet | 1.65 | 4.10 | 4.55 | 1.55 |
| Novibet | 1.74 | 4.26 | 4.88 | 1.59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.65 | 4.10 | 4.75 | 1.57 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.33 | 1.62 |
| Tipico | 1.65 | 4.10 | 4.55 | 1.55 |
| Unibet | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.60 | 1.55 |
| Unibet / Stake | 1.65 ↓10.8% | 4.10 | 4.55 | 1.55 |
| Winamax | 1.65 | 4.10 | 4.35 | 1.55 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-04-26
3 - 3
2025-10-05
0 - 1
2025-03-16
2 - 2
2025-01-16
3 - 1
2024-08-18
1 - 2