Sat 10 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
Real Madrid
Rank #3 · 27 pts
1 – 0
Full Time
Match xG: 1.43 – 0.59
Villarreal
Rank #9 · 12 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
52.6%
Fair: 1.90
Draw (X)
22.3%
Fair: 4.48
Away Win (2)
25.1%
Fair: 3.98
Over 2.5 Goals
70.3%
Fair: 1.42
BTTS: Yes
69.0%
Fair: 1.45
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Real Madrid | Metric | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| #3 (27 pts) | League Rank & Points | #9 (12 pts) |
| 9W-0D-2L | Season Record (11 MP) | 3W-3D-5L |
| 28 : 10 | Goals For : Against | 15 : 15 |
| 27.5 / 11.2 | Season xG / xGA | 21.9 / 12.1 |
| 25.3 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 20.5 xPTS |