Sun 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
Real Madrid
Rank #3 · 27 pts
4 – 1
Full Time
Match xG: 2.28 – 0.75
Sevilla
Rank #6 · 17 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
66.5%
Fair: 1.50
Draw (X)
20.0%
Fair: 5.00
Away Win (2)
13.5%
Fair: 7.41
Over 2.5 Goals
63.3%
Fair: 1.58
BTTS: Yes
56.6%
Fair: 1.77
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Real Madrid | Metric | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| #3 (27 pts) | League Rank & Points | #6 (17 pts) |
| 9W-0D-2L | Season Record (11 MP) | 5W-2D-4L |
| 28 : 10 | Goals For : Against | 17 : 19 |
| 27.5 / 11.2 | Season xG / xGA | 11.8 / 15.4 |
| 25.3 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 13.6 xPTS |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-05-17
0 - 1
2025-12-20
2 - 0
2025-05-18
0 - 2
2024-12-22
4 - 2
2024-02-25
1 - 0