Sat 12 Sep 2026, 19:00 UTC
Real Madrid
Rank #3 · 27 pts
4 – 1
Full Time
Match xG: 2.62 – 1.21
Rayo Vallecano
Rank #12 · 12 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
65.0%
Fair: 1.54
Draw (X)
19.5%
Fair: 5.13
Away Win (2)
15.4%
Fair: 6.49
Over 2.5 Goals
69.1%
Fair: 1.45
BTTS: Yes
62.7%
Fair: 1.59
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Real Madrid | Metric | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| #3 (27 pts) | League Rank & Points | #12 (12 pts) |
| 9W-0D-2L | Season Record (11 MP) | 3W-3D-4L |
| 28 : 10 | Goals For : Against | 15 : 20 |
| 27.5 / 11.2 | Season xG / xGA | 13.9 / 17.0 |
| 25.3 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 12.2 xPTS |