Tue 27 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
Padova
Rank #10 · 14 pts
2 – 0
Full Time
Match xG: 1.49 – 1.74
Südtirol
Rank #9 · 14 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
36.2%
Fair: 2.76
Draw (X)
29.1%
Fair: 3.44
Away Win (2)
34.7%
Fair: 2.88
Over 2.5 Goals
47.2%
Fair: 2.12
BTTS: Yes
53.4%
Fair: 1.87
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Padova | Metric | Südtirol |
|---|---|---|
| #10 (14 pts) | League Rank & Points | #9 (14 pts) |
| 4W-2D-4L | Season Record (10 MP) | 3W-5D-2L |
| 10 : 11 | Goals For : Against | 11 : 10 |
| 9.6 / 18.6 | Season xG / xGA | 10.5 / 14.5 |
| 7.2 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 11.4 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
5 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.35 | 3.24 | 2.98 | 1.76 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_FRA | 2.40 | 3.05 | 3.10 | 1.80 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_GBR | 2.40 | 3.05 | 3.10 | 1.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.32 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.91 |
| Tipico | 2.45 | 2.75 | 3.00 | 1.75 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-01-25
3 - 0
2025-11-01
1 - 1
2022-04-16
0 - 0
2021-12-12
0 - 0
2021-02-21
1 - 1