Sat 07 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC
Padova
Rank #10 · 14 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.41 – 1.20
Empoli
Rank #18 · 8 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
40.6%
Fair: 2.46
Draw (X)
28.7%
Fair: 3.48
Away Win (2)
30.8%
Fair: 3.25
Over 2.5 Goals
48.3%
Fair: 2.07
BTTS: Yes
54.0%
Fair: 1.85
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Padova | Metric | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| #10 (14 pts) | League Rank & Points | #18 (8 pts) |
| 4W-2D-4L | Season Record (10 MP) | 2W-2D-6L |
| 10 : 11 | Goals For : Against | 10 : 17 |
| 9.6 / 18.6 | Season xG / xGA | 9.3 / 17.0 |
| 7.2 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 8.7 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
6 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.30 | 1.75 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.30 | 1.75 |
| Novibet | 2.11 | 3.38 | 3.33 | 1.72 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.10 | 1.73 |
| Tipico | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 1.67 |
| Unibet / Stake | 2.10 | 3.35 | 3.35 | 1.80 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-04-12
1 - 0
2025-08-23
3 - 1