Sun 29 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC
Modena
Rank #2 · 20 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.85 – 0.83
Padova
Rank #10 · 14 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
60.4%
Fair: 1.66
Draw (X)
24.3%
Fair: 4.12
Away Win (2)
15.3%
Fair: 6.54
Over 2.5 Goals
50.3%
Fair: 1.99
BTTS: Yes
48.8%
Fair: 2.05
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Modena | Metric | Padova |
|---|---|---|
| #2 (20 pts) | League Rank & Points | #10 (14 pts) |
| 6W-2D-2L | Season Record (10 MP) | 4W-2D-4L |
| 18 : 10 | Goals For : Against | 10 : 11 |
| 15.2 / 8.2 | Season xG / xGA | 9.6 / 18.6 |
| 19.4 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 7.2 xPTS |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-02-28
1 - 2
2026-01-11
2 - 0
2021-04-18
3 - 0
2020-12-23
0 - 1
2020-01-19
0 - 1