Sun 20 Sep 2026, 14:15 UTC
Atlético Madrid
Rank #2 · 28 pts
2 – 1
Full Time
Match xG: 2.35 – 0.30
Real Madrid
Rank #3 · 27 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
32.5%
Fair: 3.08
Draw (X)
24.8%
Fair: 4.03
Away Win (2)
42.8%
Fair: 2.34
Over 2.5 Goals
64.3%
Fair: 1.56
BTTS: Yes
66.2%
Fair: 1.51
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Atlético Madrid | Metric | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| #2 (28 pts) | League Rank & Points | #3 (27 pts) |
| 9W-1D-1L | Season Record (11 MP) | 9W-0D-2L |
| 22 : 8 | Goals For : Against | 28 : 10 |
| 17.7 / 12.0 | Season xG / xGA | 27.5 / 11.2 |
| 19.0 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 25.3 xPTS |