Sun 08 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC
Atlético Madrid
Rank #2 · 28 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.56 – 2.31
Barcelona
Rank #1 · 30 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
24.9%
Fair: 4.02
Draw (X)
21.4%
Fair: 4.67
Away Win (2)
53.7%
Fair: 1.86
Over 2.5 Goals
73.8%
Fair: 1.36
BTTS: Yes
71.6%
Fair: 1.40
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Atlético Madrid | Metric | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| #2 (28 pts) | League Rank & Points | #1 (30 pts) |
| 9W-1D-1L | Season Record (11 MP) | 10W-0D-1L |
| 22 : 8 | Goals For : Against | 46 : 12 |
| 17.7 / 12.0 | Season xG / xGA | 38.0 / 11.7 |
| 19.0 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 27.8 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
15 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.82 | 4.41 | 1.90 | 1.32 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 4.10 | 1.80 | 1.36 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.85 | 1.29 |
| Betfred | 3.50 | 3.95 | 1.85 | 1.30 |
| Bwin | 3.55 | 4.10 | 1.80 | 1.30 |
| Caliente | 3.50 | 4.30 | 1.85 | - |
| Interwetten | 3.60 | 4.30 | 1.85 | 1.33 |
| Letsbet | 3.40 | 4.05 | 1.85 | 1.30 |
| Novibet | 3.82 | 4.41 | 1.90 | 1.32 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.85 | 1.29 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.85 | 1.33 |
| Tipico | 3.40 | 4.05 | 1.85 | 1.30 |
| Unibet | 3.40 | 4.05 | 1.85 | 1.30 |
| Unibet / Stake | 3.40 | 4.05 | 1.85 | 1.30 |
| Winamax | 3.55 | 4.10 | 1.80 | 1.30 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-04-14
1 - 2
2026-04-08
0 - 2
2026-04-04
1 - 2
2026-03-03
3 - 0
2026-02-12
4 - 0