Tue 27 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
Ascoli
Rank #3 · 19 pts
2 – 0
Full Time
Match xG: 0.61 – 0.68
Sampdoria
Rank #19 · 8 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
46.9%
Fair: 2.13
Draw (X)
26.6%
Fair: 3.76
Away Win (2)
26.5%
Fair: 3.77
Over 2.5 Goals
54.2%
Fair: 1.85
BTTS: Yes
57.5%
Fair: 1.74
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Ascoli | Metric | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| #3 (19 pts) | League Rank & Points | #19 (8 pts) |
| 5W-4D-1L | Season Record (10 MP) | 2W-2D-6L |
| 16 : 6 | Goals For : Against | 10 : 18 |
| 15.7 / 11.6 | Season xG / xGA | 13.9 / 13.3 |
| 16.1 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 14.0 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
5 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_DEU | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.10 | 1.75 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_FRA | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.10 | 1.75 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 1.70 |
| Caliente | 2.20 | 3.35 | 3.15 | - |
| Sky Bet | 2.15 | 3.10 | 2.90 | 1.67 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2024-03-11
2 - 1
2023-10-07
1 - 1
2022-10-20
2 - 2
2012-03-17
0 - 0
2011-10-15
1 - 2