Fri 06 Nov 2026, 19:30 UTC
Ascoli
Rank #3 · 19 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.79 – 1.58
Palermo
Rank #1 · 26 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
42.1%
Fair: 2.38
Draw (X)
24.6%
Fair: 4.07
Away Win (2)
33.3%
Fair: 3.00
Over 2.5 Goals
65.3%
Fair: 1.53
BTTS: Yes
67.0%
Fair: 1.49
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Ascoli | Metric | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| #3 (19 pts) | League Rank & Points | #1 (26 pts) |
| 5W-4D-1L | Season Record (10 MP) | 8W-2D-0L |
| 16 : 6 | Goals For : Against | 24 : 12 |
| 15.7 / 11.6 | Season xG / xGA | 20.9 / 16.3 |
| 16.1 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 16.5 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
15 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.84 | 3.40 | 2.36 | 1.48 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 1.53 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Betfred | 2.95 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 1.50 |
| Bwin | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Caliente | 2.92 | 3.55 | 2.25 | - |
| Interwetten | 2.95 | 3.45 | 2.30 | 2.40 |
| Letsbet | 2.85 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 1.50 |
| Novibet | 2.84 | 3.55 | 2.30 | - |
| Paddy Power | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 1.50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.15 | 1.50 |
| Tipico | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.15 | 1.45 |
| Unibet | 3.05 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Unibet / Stake | 3.05 | 3.40 | 2.25 ↓10% | 1.50 |
| Winamax | 2.95 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 1.50 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2024-05-05
2 - 2
2023-09-16
0 - 1
2023-01-29
1 - 2
2022-08-27
2 - 3
2019-05-04
1 - 2